TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Memphis vs. East Carolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
East Carolinaof Memphis, East Carolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Memphis42c52,677$22,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,079.4852449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed East Carolina59c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,399.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed East Carolina59c32,321$19,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,254.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed East Carolina58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9511846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed East Carolina21c26,664$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,025.13641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed East Carolina58c19,044$11,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,943.047545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Memphis41c18,888$7,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,743.9514752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Memphis51c14,220$7,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,210.43438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis75c11,124$8,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,303.9240541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Memphis41c9,929$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.639954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Memphis41c9,324$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,822.8465945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Memphis41c9,149$3,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.2426147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked East Carolina60c8,523$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.581847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Memphis42c7,371$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.9929249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Memphis41c5,984$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.210851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Memphis57c5,074$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.6262843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Memphis41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0505064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis76c4,963$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.2921538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed East Carolina59c4,500$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84538546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Memphis40c4,420$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.976540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Memphis40c3,901$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.122,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Memphis73c3,143$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.5864841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Memphis46c2,756$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed East Carolina58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.994551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Memphis41c2,316$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.5617443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Memphis41c2,195$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.877133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed East Carolina58c2,098$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+141.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Memphis42c1,800$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.6534529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Memphis53c1,641$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.8613933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis41c1,634$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.0750358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked East Carolina42c1,311$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.94055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Memphis43c1,245$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.426750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Memphis41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed East Carolina58c1,121$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.696645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Memphis65c1,103$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.8357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed East Carolina60c1,012$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.96842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked East Carolina60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Memphis41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4107448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed East Carolina51c997.47$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7617837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Memphis41c984$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.641,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Memphis47c974.14$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed East Carolina57c949.19$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1510753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Memphis40c875.94$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked East Carolina28c708.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.662343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed East Carolina58c691.38$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.385750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Memphis72c642.76$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.361457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Memphis53c633.96$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed East Carolina59c600$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed East Carolina34c590.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.359142.9%39 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked East Carolina58c555$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.16949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked East Carolina49c549.29$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.644736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed East Carolina59c530.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d70…f478backed East Carolina19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+225.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked East Carolina41c500.21$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.097447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Memphis41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20513531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Memphis40c496$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.425629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed East Carolina53c490.03$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.855350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis77c489.17$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.919842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed East Carolina58c480$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.36241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec30…f1aabacked Memphis41c468.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Memphis80c447.5$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3581741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Memphis14c440$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333%1 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked Memphis11c430$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked East Carolina57c360.88$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+76%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Memphis47c354.55$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683540%14 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed East Carolina59c342$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed Memphis62c339.91$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.272060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked East Carolina59c336.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Memphis41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed East Carolina20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Memphis41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed East Carolina59c271.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1924436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed East Carolina37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.276023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked East Carolina29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.568440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed East Carolina47c242$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8159…8d5cbacked East Carolina59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.292142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Memphis49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed East Carolina59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed East Carolina59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Memphis47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9442244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Memphis52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Memphis41c192$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8f3fbacked Memphis45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Memphis41c177$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3821629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Memphis41c176.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.267846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3427…005dbacked East Carolina60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Memphis41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed Memphis58c119.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.922365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed East Carolina67c112$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5410555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed East Carolina59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.18142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Memphis41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Memphis48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked East Carolina59c101.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6426846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Memphis43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4347331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Memphis41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked East Carolina60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4018868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Memphis42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Memphis47c91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked East Carolina32c90.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4825819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Memphis41c85.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355754.4%31 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.