South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aaf6550938e611d3ef6984386ef30f71876ee1be0d6468dd2cf21ccb02138b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 43c | 30,000$12,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,825 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 29,750$16,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,753.52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 3,398$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 3,336$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.47 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,189$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…ccd0backed Yes | 1c | 1,923$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 1,209$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.76 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 31c | 991.19$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 758.26$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 55c | 749.09$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 42c | 618.39$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.7 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 41c | 556.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.61 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 524.77$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 43c | 487.65$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.05 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 439.16$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 365.34$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 42c | 356.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…97c1backed Yes | 29c | 345.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 45c | 321.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 248$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 24c | 176.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 117.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 58c | 111.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 58c | 107.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 44c | 103.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 43c | 100.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Yes | 53c | 97.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…ff50backed Yes | 58c | 85.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 40c | 63.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…361abacked Yes | 57c | 58.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Yes | 45c | 49.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…21a8backed Yes | 57c | 48.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 52c | 45.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…8938backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 44c | 41.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 53c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8d…170abacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…10c1backed Yes | 44c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…e9b0backed Yes | 57c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…86c8backed Yes | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-12-01?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-12-01?No won
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.