TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NIP, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed NIP68c31,179$21,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,257.148446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NIP70c22,146$15,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,586.4983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked NRG65c18,250$11,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,317.6622468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG29c15,004$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,711.7957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked NIP20c8,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed NRG29c7,269$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.213633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed NRG23c6,994$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.314862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed NRG39c6,681$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.411533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed NRG20c5,594$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.5432425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG44c4,595$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,586.854,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG42c4,571$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.723,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed NIP74c3,887$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.6822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG27c3,704$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.6960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed NIP72c3,600$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.2730340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NRG47c3,366$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.021,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…92c6backed NIP78c3,336$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.791758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed NRG32c3,013$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.184643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed NIP73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed NRG78c2,730$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0917761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed NRG34c2,540$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.453746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5b…d4ecbacked NIP1c2,538$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.383231.3%10 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed NIP72c2,342$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.3328453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed NIP55c2,328$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.810748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NIP73c2,020$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.181,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed NRG25c2,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed NRG23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54017538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed NRG23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54028248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d74…2403backed NIP30c1,982$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG40c1,812$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.171,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed NRG77c1,622$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.397349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked NRG27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9723932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked NRG27c1,486$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.0711631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked NIP72c1,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00818051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked NRG28c1,400$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00835940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG26c1,333$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.439946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked NIP75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked NRG27c1,300$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9526564.6%42 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed NRG20c1,273$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.1512641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed NIP34c1,272$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.049337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked NIP73c1,248$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.7110442.3%44 W · 60 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG28c1,241$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.091,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed NRG27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.993132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7777…49aabacked NRG29c1,035$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.852737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP6c1,015$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.95,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…c1efbacked NRG27c999.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.961942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed NIP73c909.61$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.662955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG45c885.92$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.132,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed NRG29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.076142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked NRG32c856.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.219834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed NRG29c831.17$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2226344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed NRG23c790$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.7613740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NRG25c777$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.751,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed NRG64c734.37$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.783557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed NRG44c732.04$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.861241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked NIP70c717.62$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.4620855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked NIP73c709$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.571,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked NIP74c675.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.237343.8%32 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG64c675.63$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.851,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked NRG30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6765662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed NRG53c645.37$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.0634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked NIP53c642.33$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7510450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed NIP73c639.16$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed NRG27c614.72$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.457856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed NIP13c599.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed NRG16c599.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9946340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed NIP73c547.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NIP70c511.84$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed NRG28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed NIP68c476.57$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.763865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…5290backed NRG27c474$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed NRG26c465$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.110549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed NIP73c463$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9911654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed NIP73c458.37$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9512545.6%57 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed NIP72c446.96$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.347653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a2…f3a4backed NRG27c444.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+120.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5304…13e8backed NIP53c431.94$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed NRG43c430$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.126251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed NRG51c429.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.694942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed NRG28c419.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3428852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed NIP73c419.59$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.36456.3%36 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x65ed…62ebbacked NIP58c402.97$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed NIP65c399.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed NRG26c399.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4728344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3110…738ebacked NIP73c394$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked NIP72c393.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.138764.4%56 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed NRG29c378.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.815635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed NRG32c377.8$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9815249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7658…c052backed NRG27c375$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NIP39c368.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP80c365.7$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8826360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d0…2c2bbacked NRG27c360$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed NRG52c348.2$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.221247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed NRG29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed NIP74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed NIP46c337.45$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8921139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NIP60c336.42$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.741,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked NRG26c329.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1920936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed NRG25c321.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.135747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP68c305$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.651,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed NIP32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.