NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9567b6bf110d208dac13350f96cc79f5d667e04e0c496f257ec20dafb4cfdf5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Warriors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Warriors | 21c | 108,459$22,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,764.87 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 79c | 88,035$69,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,487.43 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nuggets | 79c | 23,779$18,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.63 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 80c | 19,816$15,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.18 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 20c | 18,408$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.63 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d0…5407backed Nuggets | 79c | 17,800$14,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 20c | 15,556$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Warriors | 20c | 14,250$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 22c | 13,450$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Warriors | 21c | 12,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 11,550$9,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…76bbbacked Warriors | 21c | 11,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Warriors | 20c | 10,461$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.2 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 11c | 9,025$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.3 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 6c | 8,681$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 6c | 7,723$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Nuggets | 79c | 7,606$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…f53bbacked Warriors | 21c | 7,600$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…e66abacked Warriors | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 12c | 7,284$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…82a3backed Nuggets | 79c | 7,200$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 20c | 6,738$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…13d2backed Warriors | 21c | 6,700$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 6,408$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 6,307$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Warriors | 8c | 6,257$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Warriors | 20c | 5,450$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 20c | 5,366$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 4,901$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Warriors | 5c | 4,500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 20c | 4,400$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Warriors | 0c | 4,370$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 21c | 4,319$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.92 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Warriors | 3c | 4,300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 0c | 4,150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 79c | 4,110$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Warriors | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Warriors | 10c | 3,850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 405 | 36.5%148 W · 257 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Warriors | 4c | 3,700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 79c | 3,693$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.17 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Warriors | 13c | 3,590$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Warriors | 4c | 3,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,263$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.66 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,163$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.42 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…8cadbacked Warriors | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 11c | 2,993$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.16 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,977$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Warriors | 5c | 2,958$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Warriors | 11c | 2,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Warriors | 20c | 2,700$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Warriors | 10c | 2,456$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Warriors | 4c | 2,339$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets | 80c | 2,144$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.81 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 11c | 2,111$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.31 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 7c | 2,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…96a6backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,708$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Warriors | 21c | 1,700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Warriors | 3c | 1,636$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Warriors | 3c | 1,468$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Warriors | 11c | 1,371$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Warriors | 7c | 1,345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Warriors | 2c | 1,141$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f00…8982backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,105$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…a9bfbacked Nuggets | 74c | 1,075$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 19c | 1,010$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Warriors | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Warriors | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.33 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…c69dbacked Warriors | 22c | 987.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 79c | 974.68$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Nuggets | 76c | 943.25$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.38 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Warriors | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Warriors | 12c | 887.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 21c | 856.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…df36backed Warriors | 3c | 799.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 740$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Warriors | 15c | 690$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Warriors | 22c | 660.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…7601backed Warriors | 16c | 628.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…4732backed Warriors | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Warriors | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Warriors | 6c | 584.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Warriors | 10c | 579.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Warriors | 20c | 575.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 3c | 554.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 21c | 512.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bf76backed Warriors | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nuggets | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Warriors | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Warriors | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 8c | 450$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Warriors | 8c | 447.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…db61backed Warriors | 23c | 444.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Warriors | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Warriors | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.