Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b8b46c09901325991029109a9d783a5ab0e536dada344d41dcbc8edcf4756f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisco Cerundoloof Brandon Nakashima, Francisco Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Francisco Cerundolo | 30c | 95,790$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,789.58 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 35,307$16,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,928.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 30,982$15,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,763.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 18,669$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 14,055$8,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,017.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Brandon Nakashima | 52c | 13,261$6,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,905.4 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 7c | 10,098$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,392.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 69c | 7,873$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.52 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 7,198$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.85 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 48c | 6,722$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 5,761$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.5 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 5,682$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.82 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 43c | 5,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.44 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 5,119$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.06 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Francisco Cerundolo | 29c | 5,000$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.5 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brandon Nakashima | 53c | 4,931$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.82 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Brandon Nakashima | 34c | 4,759$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.11 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 3,954$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.65 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 71c | 3,555$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 64c | 3,454$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 3,076$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.09 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 3,063$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.7 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 3,000$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…2846backed Brandon Nakashima | 66c | 3,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Francisco Cerundolo | 59c | 2,800$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 72c | 2,783$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.61 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Brandon Nakashima | 56c | 2,739$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 2,705$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.78 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 2,694$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.46 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 2,470$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 2,404$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.92 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Francisco Cerundolo | 13c | 2,400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 30c | 2,281$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 68c | 2,274$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.54 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 2,214$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 20c | 2,001$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.5 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Francisco Cerundolo | 75c | 1,897$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.87 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 1,830$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.19 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Brandon Nakashima | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisco Cerundolo | 50c | 1,764$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.95 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 1,677$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.79 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 1,649$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Francisco Cerundolo | 79c | 1,604$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.81 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 1,584$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.4 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…229ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 18c | 1,583$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.93 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 35c | 1,544$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.74 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.97 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Brandon Nakashima | 66c | 1,499$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.86 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5910…b0d6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 1,454$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Brandon Nakashima | 53c | 1,420$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 1,332$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.32 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 1,320$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 1,287$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 34c | 1,277$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 1,259$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.21 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Brandon Nakashima | 11c | 1,225$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Brandon Nakashima | 67c | 1,125$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.07 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Francisco Cerundolo | 22c | 1,102$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 67c | 1,074$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.37 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 1,066$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 1,046$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Francisco Cerundolo | 30c | 1,041$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.89 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 1,016$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 1,016$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Brandon Nakashima | 69c | 1,007$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.11 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 14c | 996.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.99 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 971.65$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.14 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 50c | 960.01$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.22 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Francisco Cerundolo | 38c | 942.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 933.69$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.05 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 930.17$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.13 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Francisco Cerundolo | 61c | 897.97$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.21 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 45c | 879.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.82 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 869$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 867.31$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.51 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 63c | 794.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Brandon Nakashima | 8c | 777$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Brandon Nakashima | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 760.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.69 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 56c | 723.19$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 42c | 720.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.56 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Brandon Nakashima | 79c | 712.86$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.96 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…b19dbacked Francisco Cerundolo | 40c | 688.3$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.98 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Francisco Cerundolo | 49c | 686.27$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.48 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 683.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.91 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brandon Nakashima | 41c | 662$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Brandon Nakashima | 66c | 659.09$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 658.12$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.96 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 645.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed Francisco Cerundolo | 35c | 631.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 606.45$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 54c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francisco Cerundolo | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Francisco Cerundolo | 27c | 589.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolothis page
- Nakashima vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nakashima vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs CerundoloNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.