Tennis · resolved market
ITF Haskovo: Martha Matoula vs Berfu Cengiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43fa26b26db32a1bb3cd84e22319ab1fb1c10f29ad76fa29ceb69fb7226a605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martha Matoulaof Martha Matoula, Berfu Cengiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Berfu Cengiz | 17c | 9,362$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 32c | 4,375$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martha Matoula | 68c | 4,013$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Martha Matoula | 69c | 3,923$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Berfu Cengiz | 34c | 1,420$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.29 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Berfu Cengiz | 52c | 1,328$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.11 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Berfu Cengiz | 20c | 1,084$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Martha Matoula | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.56 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Berfu Cengiz | 69c | 767.39$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.5 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Martha Matoula | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked Martha Matoula | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 33c | 470.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2572…bb08backed Martha Matoula | 67c | 446.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Martha Matoula | 39c | 430.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Berfu Cengiz | 30c | 356.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…c269backed Martha Matoula | 18c | 353.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.9 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Martha Matoula | 35c | 352.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.89 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 66c | 300.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 54c | 260.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.86 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Berfu Cengiz | 19c | 252.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Berfu Cengiz | 31c | 243.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Martha Matoula | 69c | 222.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Berfu Cengiz | 10c | 202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Martha Matoula | 35c | 186$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Berfu Cengiz | 52c | 184.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.78 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 173.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Berfu Cengiz | 66c | 152.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martha Matoula | 67c | 125.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martha Matoula | 65c | 115.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Martha Matoula | 48c | 109.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Berfu Cengiz | 45c | 104.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…0bdabacked Martha Matoula | 51c | 95.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Berfu Cengiz | 13c | 90.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Berfu Cengiz | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Martha Matoula | 47c | 85.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Martha Matoula | 41c | 82.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Martha Matoula | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…2b0dbacked Berfu Cengiz | 51c | 78.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Berfu Cengiz | 18c | 74.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martha Matoula | 52c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Martha Matoula | 77c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Berfu Cengiz | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Martha Matoula | 46c | 64.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 78c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Martha Matoula | 41c | 60.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Berfu Cengiz | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Martha Matoula | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…99c0backed Martha Matoula | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Martha Matoula | 36c | 48.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Martha Matoula | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Berfu Cengiz | 53c | 37.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Berfu Cengiz | 49c | 36.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Berfu Cengiz | 35c | 34.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Berfu Cengiz | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 46c | 30.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 54c | 29.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Martha Matoula | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…f6cbbacked Martha Matoula | 43c | 27.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Berfu Cengiz | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Berfu Cengiz | 50c | 26.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Berfu Cengiz | 74c | 24.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Berfu Cengiz | 54c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Berfu Cengiz | 66c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Berfu Cengiz | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Berfu Cengiz | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Martha Matoula | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Martha Matoula | 75c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Berfu Cengiz | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Haskovo: Martha Matoula vs Berfu Cengizthis page
- Matoula vs. Cengiz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Matoula vs CengizCengiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.