Lol · resolved market
Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b1bfe5b2379620371a7d678407346ca90e1d9d058469e8e68df3a5528d6909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Yes | 32c | 6,435$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.27 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 5,527$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +158%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked No | 67c | 1,955$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 19c | 1,163$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 684.27$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…1a98backed No | 79c | 631.95$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…8469backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…47f6backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked No | 70c | 535$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed No | 65c | 502.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…7d7fbacked No | 65c | 502.78$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…be0abacked Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed Yes | 33c | 454.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Yes | 18c | 441.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 32c | 434.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…c01fbacked Yes | 33c | 339.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Yes | 29c | 313.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…7319backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Yes | 40c | 252.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 66c | 249.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 36c | 242.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f3…cc02backed No | 75c | 224.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Yes | 13c | 223.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb8…4d53backed Yes | 32c | 220.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 75c | 200.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…887fbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 178.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…f21abacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed No | 71c | 169$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 70c | 163.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…6f40backed Yes | 34c | 149.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb3…8d72backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Yes | 40c | 139.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1902…f33bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…ab63backed Yes | 53c | 127.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2867…1763backed Yes | 36c | 103.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…dbd6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…93e2backed Yes | 34c | 97.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 94.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…932dbacked Yes | 35c | 85.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +231%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 22c | 67.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 27c | 64.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…3612backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 21c | 58.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…61f0backed Yes | 36c | 55.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed No | 67c | 53.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…e3d1backed Yes | 35c | 52.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…7138backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…cc98backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Yes | 42c | 47.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…c3cfbacked Yes | 36c | 45.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…327abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…56c1backed No | 75c | 39.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…29c5backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…fcf2backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…1976backed No | 70c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 62c | 18.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?this page
- Will Bdd (Gwak Bo-seong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Cuzz (Moon Woo-chan) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?Yes won
- Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will PerfecT (Lee Seung-min) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Peter (Jeong Yoon-su) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will deokdam (Seo Dae-gil) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.