TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes5c12,438$642 inLost-$641.669535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes5c3,432$174 inLost-$174.1230243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc27d…a3b2backed Yes6c1,117$63 inLost-$63250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+220%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes5c952.91$48 inLost-$47.6594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf1…3db0backed Yes3c899.97$30 inLost-$3021629.2%63 W · 153 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3860…6ae1backed Yes6c791.33$48 inLost-$47.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+120.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…876cbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd20…2980backed Yes8c626.09$49 inLost-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes4c625.25$25 inLost-$255862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x031b…babcbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost-$157536%27 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes5c500$25 inLost-$2511744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b95…797bbacked Yes8c395.3$30 inLost-$29.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes4c369.82$15 inLost-$14.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes4c354.77$14 inLost-$14.1917136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209c…efc4backed Yes32c314.29$100 inLost-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes8c238.75$19 inLost-$19.1837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4168…8d0fbacked No64c200$127 inWon+$73560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes12c191.42$24 inLost-$23.6913322.6%30 W · 103 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b6…6f40backed Yes30c133.6$40 inLost-$40.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…c01fbacked Yes13c120$16 inLost-$15.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd895…3d8fbacked Yes25c65.63$16 inLost-$16.2825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2b…143dbacked Yes65c30.91$20 inLost-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.