TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,511 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e22…3993backed Yes9c3,666$317 inLost-$316.623935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…044bbacked Yes12c2,500$295 inLost-$295520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes11c1,080$120 inLost-$119.69535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes12c850$102 inLost-$1022,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed Yes3c679.99$17 inLost-$17.43641.7%15 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Yes11c606.12$67 inLost-$66.672548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4378…8babbacked Yes24c600$146 inLost-$145.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Yes8c553.22$44 inLost-$44.262951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6087…fa2fbacked Yes15c518.13$78 inLost-$78.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes13c499.99$65 inLost-$6594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ad…07abbacked Yes14c489.87$69 inLost-$6930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes9c474.94$41 inLost-$40.5817136.3%62 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031b…babcbacked Yes6c436.6$26 inLost-$25.967536%27 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…bfadbacked Yes11c394.54$44 inLost-$44.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…887fbacked Yes13c350.89$45 inLost-$45.37149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b6…6f40backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1800…a467backed Yes13c240.11$32 inLost-$32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcf…1bdebacked Yes23c234.93$54 inLost-$53.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4e…d786backed Yes11c222.22$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes13c200$26 inLost-$268643%37 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Yes15c200$30 inLost-$3029856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…876cbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes9c200$18 inLost-$18837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost-$2514358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c161$18 inLost-$18.2544128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ff…c436backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da6…b20abacked Yes14c131.11$19 inLost-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+134.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Yes24c124$30 inLost-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf933…8a76backed Yes12c100$12 inLost-$123636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e7…ed30backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5a…05afbacked Yes24c62.22$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fa…1f89backed Yes18c60.64$11 inLost-$10.95333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3f…698fbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbc…1a98backed No79c38.82$31 inWon+$7.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes32c35$11 inLost-$11.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb4e…9774backed No65c30$20 inWon+$10.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.