Lol · resolved market
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x012a5bd5f973761fa29237088a55d72455ebbf844a01eb7ce793e30afb7862b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Yes | 22c | 4,471$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…7e5cbacked No | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 58c | 999.99$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 11c | 956.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…f209backed Yes | 55c | 908.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 8c | 780.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed No | 60c | 702.18$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…5badbacked No | 63c | 660.93$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 31c | 522.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…4067backed Yes | 13c | 499.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked Yes | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes | 9c | 385.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Yes | 6c | 363.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Yes | 15c | 359.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 20c | 354.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…ba96backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Yes | 18c | 273.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…3101backed Yes | 66c | 272.25$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…4161backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Yes | 21c | 239.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Yes | 43c | 234.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…583dbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…6f40backed Yes | 10c | 199.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…a103backed Yes | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 24c | 166.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a55…dde6backed Yes | 8c | 145.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 69c | 144.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…1857backed Yes | 70c | 123.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…887fbacked Yes | 36c | 111.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…22bdbacked Yes | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…6d4bbacked Yes | 63c | 91.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2a2ebacked Yes | 20c | 73.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…a467backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…5082backed Yes | 74c | 67.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…84b5backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 58c | 51.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…25b0backed Yes | 23c | 47.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…143dbacked No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…da34backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…279ebacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…476fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…c894backed Yes | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?this page
- Will Bdd (Gwak Bo-seong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Cuzz (Moon Woo-chan) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?Yes won
- Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will PerfecT (Lee Seung-min) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Peter (Jeong Yoon-su) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will deokdam (Seo Dae-gil) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.