Lol · resolved market
Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71756d14127bdf71a69eb0672fe5c9b553eec3bbc077905f0440f8c46a81b8a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6812…6646backed Yes | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed No | 68c | 3,227$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…1384backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…2413backed Yes | 35c | 1,524$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.92 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 10c | 1,094$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes | 2c | 832.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +1,325.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed Yes | 9c | 801.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…0e94backed Yes | 16c | 544.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9f…7d7fbacked Yes | 6c | 484.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 8c | 394.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 80c | 355.66$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71b…e225backed Yes | 15c | 333$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb6…7319backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…c01fbacked Yes | 18c | 280$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…6f40backed Yes | 19c | 264.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…876cbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27d…a3b2backed Yes | 16c | 240.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +220%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…24a1backed Yes | 24c | 202.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +118%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…8d0fbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 66c | 170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…4a47backed Yes | 12c | 167.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…082cbacked Yes | 12c | 166.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…2270backed Yes | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…932dbacked Yes | 13c | 148.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +231%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 135$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…c436backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…ed21backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…0508backed Yes | 14c | 108.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +417.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 11c | 99.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…8024backed Yes | 39c | 98.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…583dbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…a9bcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 17c | 62.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…8d13backed Yes | 49c | 61.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…ae8ebacked Yes | 36c | 57.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 47cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cee…3951backed Yes | 37c | 54.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?this page
- Will Bdd (Gwak Bo-seong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Cuzz (Moon Woo-chan) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Doran (Choi Hyeon-joon) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Faker (Lee Sang-hyeok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will PerfecT (Lee Seung-min) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will Peter (Jeong Yoon-su) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
- Will deokdam (Seo Dae-gil) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.