NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1651b4fd69534dfd68278f03ff346407125144462f42a3808e28106ee4c7f62

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Bucks
Resolved: Nov 17, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $128,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	49c	29,747$14,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,170.73	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	50c	29,720$14,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,949.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers	53c	20,000$10,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,399.99	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	50c	15,099$7,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,587.37	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Bucks	47c	15,053$7,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,119.94	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Cavaliers	49c	13,624$6,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,923.93	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x719f…db30backed Cavaliers	54c	8,500$4,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+59.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bf…429abacked Bucks	46c	8,500$3,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,910	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Bucks	53c	8,220$4,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,356.71	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Bucks	47c	6,360$2,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,989.2	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers	52c	6,250$3,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,012.5	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers	50c	2,570$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.18	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e3…1a64backed Cavaliers	52c	2,477$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,188.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucks	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf485…d672backed Cavaliers	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.91	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	44cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x710a…a5d8backed Bucks	46c	1,900$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc31a…31d0backed Cavaliers	54c	1,900$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks	51c	1,893$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.93	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers	49c	1,296$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.42	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks	50c	1,099$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.72	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers	51c	1,023$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.57	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	50c	971.51$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.98	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Bucks	48c	918.02$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.38	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Bucks	46c	746.44$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.36	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks	48c	652.38$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.82	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Cavaliers	50c	401.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.43per pick	17cpaid	+400.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cavaliers	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	337	43.6%147 W · 190 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Cavaliers	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked Bucks	51c	392.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	138	60.1%83 W · 55 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Bucks	48c	391.67$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Bucks	47c	377.16$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.27	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Cavaliers	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Bucks	51c	367.08$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.21	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	49c	344$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.98	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Cavaliers	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Cavaliers	48c	264.03$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.48	233	48.9%114 W · 119 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Bucks	47c	222$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.34	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Bucks	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Cavaliers	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Bucks	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8835…7d7ebacked Cavaliers	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Bucks	47c	182$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.54	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Cavaliers	56c	179.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.97	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bucks	48c	165$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.78	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Bucks	46c	152$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bucks	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	50c	129.81$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.34	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	52c	114$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.88	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc58…1dffbacked Bucks	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x536b…8134backed Cavaliers	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…b610backed Bucks	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Bucks	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Cavaliers	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	354	47.7%169 W · 185 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed Cavaliers	54c	98.15$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.15	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Bucks	46c	98$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.08	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Bucks	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff1…5653backed Bucks	54c	93.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Cavaliers	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Cavaliers	55c	92$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	133	58.6%78 W · 55 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Cavaliers	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	408	53.7%219 W · 189 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Cavaliers	50c	90$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Bucks	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Bucks	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Cavaliers	53c	75$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.25	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cavaliers	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Cavaliers	55c	72.67$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.7	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Cavaliers	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Cavaliers	55c	67.53$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.39	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d8…0decbacked Cavaliers	52c	67.13$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…7b85backed Bucks	51c	64.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec63…25d2backed Bucks	50c	59.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.6	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Bucks	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Cavaliers	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d82…a51cbacked Cavaliers	52c	55.19$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	61cpaid	+38%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Cavaliers	54c	51$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ddd…1725backed Bucks	50c	50.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Bucks	49c	50.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Cavaliers	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Cavaliers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Bucks	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Bucks	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Cavaliers	53c	46$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.62	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+24%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Bucks	54c	44.44$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Cavaliers	53c	44$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Bucks	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+5.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Cavaliers	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Cavaliers	50c	39.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.86	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Bucks	48c	39.61$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	291	56.4%164 W · 127 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Cavaliers	49c	37.79$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.27	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Bucks	49c	37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Bucks	49c	37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Cavaliers	54c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	46c	35.25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.05	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Cavaliers	54c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Cavaliers	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1acc…35b7backed Cavaliers	54c	27.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)this page
Bucks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event