Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18b3633bebf67ca0fc289506972a40772bc03a61c7511d9240c4eb9d5ea3e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 31c | 7,077$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.67 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 67c | 1,411$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.49 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 1,366$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.91 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 39c | 1,201$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,027$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 951.87$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.27 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 33c | 839.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879a…f00ebacked Yes | 70c | 833$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 37c | 683.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.18 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 53c | 650.61$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 39c | 394.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 61c | 382.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed No | 67c | 370.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 35c | 343.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 36c | 333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 318.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.9 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 35c | 289.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 35c | 277.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 33c | 199.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 186.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 168.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 66c | 149.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…f02fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…33bcbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 26c | 127.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…179bbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 125.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes | 30c | 115$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 64c | 109.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 35c | 107.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…b82cbacked Yes | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 65c | 97.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed No | 39c | 77.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 57.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…33d4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Yes | 34c | 53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…93fcbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…509cbacked Yes | 37c | 37.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 65c | 36.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 37c | 34.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 77c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…852ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…34a0backed Yes | 52c | 28.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 74c | 28.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…55f6backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 46c | 26.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked No | 66c | 24.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 62c | 20.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 66c | 16.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…1c0abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.