Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4fdbe4b3043f9f1219ad055c01b3c2c3cd896896c428d8b905034f88f4464d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 5,059$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.1 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 27c | 4,477$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 70c | 2,066$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 1,160$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.15 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 36c | 765.04$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 754.3$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 543.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 508.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 35c | 437.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 405.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 40c | 288$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 281$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 14c | 278$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 261$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 40c | 249.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed Yes | 41c | 246.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 62c | 242.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked No | 62c | 224.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 196.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…600cbacked Yes | 9c | 195$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 12c | 167.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…8359backed Yes | 40c | 136.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Yes | 38c | 133.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 60c | 118.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…d6e9backed Yes | 40c | 115.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 42c | 100.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 22c | 90.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…ff10backed No | 61c | 79.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 72.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 70c | 71.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 32c | 71.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…23d9backed No | 61c | 59.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 49c | 58.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 40c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked Yes | 39c | 40.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…d841backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…190bbacked Yes | 41c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 39c | 30.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.