Us Politics · resolved market
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f4a22386259f51899dbd612b1b0b72273ae1c6288d38777c747d3693403913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 32c | 25,327$8,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,063.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 38c | 4,010$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 79c | 3,677$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.79 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 73c | 3,170$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 26c | 3,139$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.93 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed No | 67c | 2,477$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 65c | 2,236$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.37 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 60c | 2,100$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,986$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 31c | 1,967$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.45 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…3bf2backed No | 64c | 1,626$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 63c | 1,456$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.38 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5380backed Yes | 43c | 1,275$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…73e2backed No | 79c | 1,258$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed No | 75c | 1,198$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed No | 65c | 1,121$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…160dbacked No | 59c | 1,019$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 68c | 1,018$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 78c | 1,008$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…5061backed No | 62c | 1,004$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 21c | 998.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…d98bbacked Yes | 27c | 894.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 799.99$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3bd1backed No | 59c | 750.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…cb85backed No | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 28c | 727.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 69c | 639$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 29c | 624.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 31c | 624$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 28c | 600$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 592.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 40c | 487.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 32c | 474.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…51cfbacked Yes | 32c | 469.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 72c | 451.57$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 60c | 431.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…02abbacked Yes | 47c | 410.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 25c | 402.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 71c | 400$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed No | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 72c | 393.23$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 56c | 385.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 64c | 377.82$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 34c | 354.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 68c | 346.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 29c | 346.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 68c | 343.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 72c | 332.47$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked Yes | 39c | 316.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…194cbacked Yes | 32c | 314.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 69c | 311.76$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…43f3backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 70c | 285.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 37c | 273.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 35c | 257.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 69c | 254.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 69c | 253.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…c055backed No | 75c | 251.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…327abacked No | 74c | 235.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…5a2fbacked No | 69c | 230$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 61c | 226.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked No | 60c | 223.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +131%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…9338backed No | 70c | 215.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +773.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 45c | 210.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…5704backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…942ebacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 195.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 59c | 192$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…3a5ebacked No | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 30c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 63c | 179.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked No | 65c | 176.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…fab1backed No | 74c | 173.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 65c | 163.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…753bbacked No | 67c | 157.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…bac5backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked Yes | 34c | 148.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked No | 71c | 141.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 67c | 139.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…da8abacked No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked No | 62c | 125.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 52c | 125.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…1790backed No | 68c | 125.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4fafbacked No | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 115.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.