Middle East · resolved market
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4995740c30aae884c7bf91229846e8956df30ef34644f3db1f80b4a2a55a5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaada…75fbbacked No | 13c | 26,330$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 57c | 11,789$6,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 21c | 9,595$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 6,842$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.19 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…0759backed No | 3c | 5,400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a7…f77cbacked No | 21c | 3,927$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 56c | 3,255$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.51 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 67c | 3,148$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.74 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 23c | 2,622$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,587$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.35 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 2,400$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 66c | 1,635$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…3d54backed No | 12c | 1,504$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed Yes | 70c | 1,420$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 27c | 1,417$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,319$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.15 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 66c | 1,240$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.11 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 54c | 1,166$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 16c | 1,147$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 14c | 1,142$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…d2a2backed No | 4c | 1,095$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 42c | 1,060$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.5 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,054$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5380backed Yes | 64c | 1,047$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,043$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.02 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,018$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 36c | 959.26$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed Yes | 50c | 880.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.61 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +261.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 812.55$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 67c | 806.6$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…4577backed Yes | 39c | 719.07$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964d…5194backed No | 35c | 700$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked No | 44c | 681.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 21c | 640.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed No | 19c | 617.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…0e0fbacked No | 43c | 600.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 584$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 17c | 578.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 30c | 569.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…506cbacked No | 36c | 556.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 59c | 505.76$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked No | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 37c | 487.74$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…ac93backed Yes | 74c | 468.77$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…693bbacked No | 15c | 458.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…69fabacked No | 63c | 425.66$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 74c | 415.67$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 55c | 400$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 202 | 39.1%79 W · 123 L | +20.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…97ddbacked No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 36c | 399.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked Yes | 35c | 396.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 37c | 375$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 78c | 369.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 62c | 360$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 74c | 355.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 61c | 345.52$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked No | 38c | 326.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 38c | 320.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…38cabacked No | 33c | 304.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…a4fdbacked Yes | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 64c | 299.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 29c | 288.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 17c | 285.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed Yes | 65c | 280$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 57c | 273.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 26c | 264.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 29c | 256.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 66c | 252.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 60c | 240$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 35c | 233.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked No | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…06e4backed No | 40c | 219.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 61c | 215.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 44c | 215$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 59c | 200.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…b34fbacked Yes | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe8…6feabacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…1528backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…685bbacked No | 25c | 199.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 32c | 197.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…18d2backed Yes | 59c | 191.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 45c | 186.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 184$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 63c | 176.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.