MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x858b6b7d5f98af62410cde957e24a5439b9c0711b7afba878220e1e616cfb3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,732,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,704,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,732,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 712 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 399,999$120,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279,999.47 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 256,494$176,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176,980.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 175,000$122,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,499.8 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 170,289$55,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,926.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 87,062$60,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,943.15 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 75,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 65,747$18,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,937.54 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,499.84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 45,201$13,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,640.7 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 45,022$13,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,515.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 44,557$29,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,717.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 40,000$13,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060.69 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 38,561$15,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,922.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 35,625$10,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,937.5 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 33,686$18,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250.32 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 24,884$17,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,667.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 24,249$16,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,073.49 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987c…cd13backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 20,662$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,656.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 18,626$13,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,038 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 18,603$13,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,022.12 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 14,972$10,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 14,691$10,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,136.81 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 13,421$9,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.91 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 12,500$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,874.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 12,197$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,348.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 11,816$8,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.84 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 11,667$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 11,255$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 11,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 10,264$7,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Atlanta Braves | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 8,877$6,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 8,621$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,120.69 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 8,316$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 7,757$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Atlanta Braves | 16c | 7,658$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.3 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 7,459$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 7,450$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.49 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 6,185$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.18 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 5,894$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 5,714$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 5,121$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.63 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 4,726$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 4,675$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 4,425$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 4,200$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 4,165$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 4,032$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.73 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 3,935$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.48 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 3,840$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.26 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 3,662$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 3,564$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Atlanta Braves | 25c | 3,442$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.01 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 3,345$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.99 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 3,254$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.65 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,188$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.75 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,121$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.53 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 3,088$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…0cc9backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 3,037$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,902$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.29 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 2,780$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,743$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,673$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,516$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,503$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.56 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,500$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.07 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 2,485$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.42 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 2,289$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.56 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 25c | 2,099$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.96 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 1,920$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…7f92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 1,875$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,807$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Atlanta Braves | 14c | 1,741$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Braves | 1c | 1,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,655$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,625$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,515$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.32 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 1,507$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.