MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba2d97966f546aec7ec66c71eb9bbd330b10f9a863093f38fba5d4f326083a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Atlanta Braves, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $590,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 354,806$170,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,499.11 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 220,453$114,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,635.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 79,522$38,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,489.11 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 57,692$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 51,495$26,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,501.93 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 45,424$23,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,471.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 26,000$13,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,520 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 19,740$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,461 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 18,229$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.28 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 15,500$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 15,484$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 10,276$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.31 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 10,200$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 7,971$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.13 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 7,656$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.84 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,859$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 6,784$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…c584backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 6,653$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 6,455$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,190$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.16 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,179$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 3,851$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,653$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.21 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 3,108$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 2,840$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.57 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,200$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 1,972$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,757$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 1,733$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Atlanta Braves | 7c | 1,472$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…c1f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,440$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +381.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,308$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.27 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.74 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,140$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.61 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,111$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Atlanta Braves | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 932$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 914.71$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 891.01$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 814.14$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.93 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 766$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.02 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 605.94$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 566.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.65 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 528.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 517.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 517$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 504.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 489.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 485.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.38 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 461.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.01 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 423.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 421.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 380.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 332.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 324.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 276$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 275$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 262.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 224.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…69e7backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 203.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 201.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.