TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2805…76edbacked Over47c30,000$14,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,90021242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Under52c28,863$14,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,998.5413561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c24,406$12,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,933.3510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c22,567$10,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,734.664,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c21,452$11,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,290.584,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over47c18,800$8,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,963.995726.3%15 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+221.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c16,680$8,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,981.9611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb207…839bbacked Under0c11,980$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004949%24 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over47c8,116$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.242626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over47c6,288$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.6423538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c6,176$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.061,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.151,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under53c4,659$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.2133554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c4,436$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.054,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Under6c4,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201520%3 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2887…a552backed Under5c3,949$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.971118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick5cpaid+120.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over50c3,452$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c3,008$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.898,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56024150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over47c2,790$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.193,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over36c2,603$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.0429948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over71c2,386$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.86,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,000$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.335,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c1,804$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.644,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Over47c1,339$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.434841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over47c1,335$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.7277951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under63c1,200$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.529657.3%55 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over49c1,074$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.411,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c1,000$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c995$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.351,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over49c985.15$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over47c855.31$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3159549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over46c827.41$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under10c816.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.66825%2 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+262.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c738.93$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.569,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over46c734.81$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.323,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under49c703.98$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.461,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Under54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37839846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under51c687$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3727249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under53c617.53$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under4c517.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71498.2%4 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under68c434.77$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.642,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c390.52$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.036,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over51c385.69$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.795,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under54c366$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6466050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13ec…6452backed Over49c334.09$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.395064%32 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over33c330.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.642445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c310.95$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.015,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over48c300$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.91,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c294.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.341,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under53c288.45$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8887750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under53c272.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.212752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c260$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under13c255.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.154829.2%14 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c244.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8819053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under54c243.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under11c231.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over48c222.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over40c215.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.591,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7026860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Under52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under6c193.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3513357.9%77 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under54c190.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9351555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.72937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over49c179.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4389053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c143.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.712,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c139.75$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.672,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over71c136.3$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.043,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Under53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under53c127.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4915857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over51c122.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.472,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.677050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c118.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Over49c116.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.563852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over53c114.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0277353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1752449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb922…1d3ebacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173959%23 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0814759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under49c102.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2557747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Over48c102.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8651849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under57c99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4391252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…bd11backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.321,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235341.1%145 W · 208 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4316251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cce…8c59backed Under52c76.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.