MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c09b42ec5466d53cfb2837ffc52656d4fec446a73f9bda27d7c0288a256396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 65c | 30,918$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 11,801$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.58 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 9,760$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,034.15 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 4,384$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,230$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,370$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,315$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.76 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,998$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,287$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,258$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,056$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.52 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Mets | 62c | 907.26$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 717.2$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 717$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.24 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 62c | 654.49$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.37 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 646.02$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 63c | 482.02$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 399.49$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets | 63c | 386.43$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 386.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 328.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.71 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 64c | 309.23$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 63c | 224$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 219.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 218.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 210$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 206.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 191.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 63c | 150.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked New York Mets | 65c | 123.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 67c | 121.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 108$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 60c | 101.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Mets | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 92.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 64c | 92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed New York Mets | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Mets | 69c | 76.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 42c | 76.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed New York Mets | 61c | 58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 54.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed New York Mets | 64c | 41.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Mets | 61c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 39.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 49c | 37.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Mets | 62c | 35.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 34.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 63c | 34.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 76c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Mets | 62c | 21.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.