MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdb0cdaf3b8a2da164b3cbfcc4a5745384be36f2c0176346e63e55d643b3bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 12,600$6,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,922 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 10,869$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 6,139$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.39 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 3,175$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 2,538$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,721$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 1,542$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.21 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 1,539$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,325$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.17 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 1,219$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.82 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,057$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.86 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 878.38$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 842.27$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 645.19$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 543.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 462.42$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.59 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 462.34$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 306$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 243.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 166.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 153.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 86.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 23c | 83.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 64.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 45.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 25.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.