MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cae5ab18d69964e92aa92b6604fbf1d7613a85a71a76ca3833090cc4eb57b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 57c | 1,218$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.74 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 68c | 983.14$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 835.81$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 738.27$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 715.29$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 553.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 49c | 394.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 26c | 377.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 26c | 376.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 269.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 237$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…2196backed Under | 78c | 202.27$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 37c | 189.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 26c | 188.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 47c | 167.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 63c | 144.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 121.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 113.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 57c | 104.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 95.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 73c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 54.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 47.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 37c | 45.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 49c | 37.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Over | 55c | 36.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 43c | 35.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 39c | 33.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 267 | 62.2%166 W · 101 L | +43.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +58%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Over | 56c | 20.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 59c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.