MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615d18f2a9ea90ede61d1d2dcf64446d121e479b8318b6156466b7b4a4fb71ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof San Diego Padres, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $969,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 361,963$151,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,675.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 149,956$89,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,874.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 26,219$13,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,339.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 23,985$14,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,406.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 21,719$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.31 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 20,528$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,211.31 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 18,553$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 12,962$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.77 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 12,329$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.81 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 11,300$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 9,852$6,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.3 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 9,483$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 6,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 5,793$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 5,739$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 5,712$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 5,625$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 5,053$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 4,921$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 4,903$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.11 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 4,205$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.53 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 65c | 4,095$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 4,005$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.16 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 3,452$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.47 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 2,831$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.88 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,824$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 2,388$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,160$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.42 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,950$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,835$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.3 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,790$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,790$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.8 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,574$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,528$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 1,465$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,447$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 1,440$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,412$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.67 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,338$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.99 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,298$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,260$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.83 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,220$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 1,214$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 1,170$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.28 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,153$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.04 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 1,124$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 946.4$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 946.3$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 921$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 887.01$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 874.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 869.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.66 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 850.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 838.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 805.64$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 774.9$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 754.42$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 638.39$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 622.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 618.09$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 593.2$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a4…17abbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 587.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 61c | 569.89$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 560$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 542.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 481.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 463.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 460$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 455.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 452.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Texas Rangers | 67c | 431.96$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 383$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 376$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 371.37$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…406cbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 356.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.