MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ad76bffd8ec1c6dff981aabf93878d91140fea3511d5a04730d2ed5656ee13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Texas Rangers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 8,601$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 6,300$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,701$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,132$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.4 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,594$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.37 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,282$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,061$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.68 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 1,004$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 936.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 827.21$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 806.46$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Texas Rangers | 39c | 552.69$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 396.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 340$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 170$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 158.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 155.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 146.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 113.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 98.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 91.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 90.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 90.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 87.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 86.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 72.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 71.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 67.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 63.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…cbffbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 50.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…3bf5backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 43.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 42.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 41.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 39.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 39.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 38.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 37.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 31.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 30.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 26.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 25.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 20.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Boston Red Sox | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.