MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x623132fb1497f82bbdae8bcb4747190aae79fe650a9e995fd0c76d7b2359edd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 10,868$5,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 53c | 5,861$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,532$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Under | 38c | 4,700$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 2,264$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 51c | 2,039$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 1,463$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 1,283$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 38c | 1,276$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 943.99$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Over | 46c | 767.26$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.94 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Over | 75c | 681.24$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.61 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 56c | 565.5$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 40c | 564.75$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.71 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 562.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Under | 42c | 453.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 16c | 441.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 409.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 59c | 381.65$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 26c | 308.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 78c | 305.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 289.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 37c | 266.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 35c | 265.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 42c | 242.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 236.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 40c | 184.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 68c | 175.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 33c | 172.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 41c | 155.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 44c | 141.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 141.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 60c | 132.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 127.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 45c | 125.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…cbffbacked Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 115.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 19c | 115.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 44c | 109.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 37c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 96.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…a991backed Under | 60c | 78.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 44c | 67.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 65.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over | 36c | 64.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 30c | 64.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 45c | 63.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 59.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 51c | 58.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…fe5dbacked Over | 40c | 55.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked Over | 44c | 52.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 37c | 52.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Over | 39c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 39c | 40.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Over | 32c | 39.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Under | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 40c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 69c | 29.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 58c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 43c | 28.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.