MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc885b0109187775630532881942434b8d6b860489328398bd822a66df8858d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Cleveland Guardians, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $511,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $518,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 299,557$143,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,513.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,400 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 72,401$40,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,631.5 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 33,777$17,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,632.68 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 33,077$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,676.96 | 772 | 53.9%416 W · 356 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 52c | 22,691$11,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,885.87 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.76 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 17,611$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,453.06 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 17,590$8,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474.91 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 52c | 15,758$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.76 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 52c | 15,627$8,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,501.38 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 12,942$6,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.49 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 11,825$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.05 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 6,024$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.71 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 5,221$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.88 | 241 | 53.9%130 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,905$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.1 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 4,700$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,619$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.68 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Houston Astros | 38c | 4,300$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.98 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,526$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.41 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 3,011$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.26 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,993$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.65 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 54c | 2,963$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.22 | 1,534 | 59.5%912 W · 622 L | +83.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,578$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.75 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,403$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.41 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 40c | 2,111$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.94 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.23 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 816 | 47.4%387 W · 429 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,778$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.51 | 1,286 | 49.4%635 W · 651 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,926 | 53.4%1,029 W · 897 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,597$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.33 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,565$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.55 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,558$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,484$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,476$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,114$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.48 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,087$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.42 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 933.12$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.69 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 54c | 932.29$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 916.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 903.26$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 900.78$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 899.87$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.44 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 840$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 368 | 29.6%109 W · 259 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 765.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 968 | 48.8%472 W · 496 L | -42.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Houston Astros | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 704.65$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 698$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.86 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 694.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 667$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 52.4%108 W · 98 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 635.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 634.1$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 567.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…2b06backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 560.37$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 546$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.33 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Houston Astros | 52c | 500.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 500$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 489.34$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 392 | 34.2%134 W · 258 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 52c | 483$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Houston Astros | 54c | 468.48$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 53c | 421$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 962 | 55.1%530 W · 432 L | +30.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,145 | 46.4%531 W · 614 L | +37.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 405.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 377$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.11 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 366.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 363.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 883 | 48%424 W · 459 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 359.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 339.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 292 | 52.7%154 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 335.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 331$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 330.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 328.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 325.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Houston Astros | 54c | 308.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 285 | 30.9%88 W · 197 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 47c | 283.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Houston Astros | 52c | 281.13$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.