TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$540,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under53c114,331$60,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,052.0660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c70,000$35,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,299.8932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c45,788$21,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,915.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under53c39,868$21,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,064.011,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over47c39,405$18,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,951.6587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over45c25,398$11,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,968.727747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c23,788$11,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,512.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c21,608$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,60016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under55c20,526$11,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,294.516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c18,582$8,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,892.683,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c18,325$9,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,497.4643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under53c16,073$8,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,518.8266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c12,338$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,560.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Under53c10,643$5,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,641.0537539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over48c10,117$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,260.677248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,843$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.91,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over47c7,286$3,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.532,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c5,913$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c5,712$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.4427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c5,702$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c5,564$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c5,467$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c5,377$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.1720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c5,307$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under49c5,105$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.4525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c4,625$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.91,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under49c4,351$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…32b9backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Under56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.994443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6672…63b1backed Under49c3,922$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5163…cb8abacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c3,565$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under49c3,434$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.7636351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7208…ece7backed Under49c3,034$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,008$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeece…e011backed Under50c2,951$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over47c2,914$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.4270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b3…56bcbacked Under49c2,862$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c2,852$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e06…ce3cbacked Over51c2,852$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c2,800$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.981,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x055e…2658backed Over50c2,763$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd5b…6c7cbacked Over51c2,756$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a4e…f4d6backed Under49c2,754$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…ce13backed Over51c2,724$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…4ce0backed Under49c2,720$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7484…d8cdbacked Under49c2,704$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under54c2,686$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.447458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x092e…c94dbacked Under49c2,683$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c2,664$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.842,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…e7b3backed Over51c2,654$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc09d…7d7ebacked Over51c2,654$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4181…8d4abacked Over50c2,645$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5d…1da0backed Under49c2,634$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67b…85e3backed Over51c2,586$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb7…a100backed Under49c2,577$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…e2edbacked Over51c2,574$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6a…9365backed Under49c2,479$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…98b7backed Under49c2,431$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b06…5158backed Over51c2,381$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1d…a517backed Under49c2,309$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b7…a172backed Over50c2,299$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under49c2,262$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over47c2,242$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.268344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…f3fabacked Under49c2,177$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…89c1backed Over51c2,138$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under49c1,985$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.653831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d03…2d5abacked Under49c1,983$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Under53c1,922$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.128251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e1…f901backed Under50c1,784$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under56c1,784$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x416e…2a6cbacked Under50c1,738$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd31…580ebacked Over51c1,735$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…5bb6backed Over50c1,734$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under53c1,715$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.0815353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab4…c9c6backed Under50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc039…51e2backed Over51c1,656$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2040…e556backed Under50c1,646$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8234…2bc2backed Over51c1,619$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…1bbdbacked Over51c1,579$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under54c1,560$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…27edbacked Over51c1,552$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbd…5f49backed Under49c1,525$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under50c1,512$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.0210651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe838…f014backed Over51c1,489$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x446c…5ab1backed Under50c1,432$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under53c1,425$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.2391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…e53dbacked Over51c1,415$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6c…a021backed Over51c1,411$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b9…37bdbacked Under49c1,377$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c1,365$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over45c1,360$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74811543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe7…0216backed Under49c1,355$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df6…31adbacked Under49c1,344$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.