NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa302849b14630f21fbdb6e8a4f4e045a24c844f284d3704cfad0210e6b4b458f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $795,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $826,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,097 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	52c	638,762$330,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308,091.63	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under	48c	150,000$72,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	48c	135,000$64,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,800.13	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	134,694$65,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,365.94	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	48c	94,208$45,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,479.39	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under	49c	32,198$15,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,776.05	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	8c	30,048$2,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,401.14	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	49c	22,911$11,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,123.55	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under	49c	21,062$10,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,331.15	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	48c	20,694$10,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,007.2	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424f…5e80backed Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x549d…c8e4backed Under	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under	48c	19,000$9,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,120	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under	49c	17,235$8,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,460.72	240	53.8%129 W · 111 L	+12.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over	51c	10,038$5,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,918.81	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	48c	6,250$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over	51c	5,390$2,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,641.33	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	51c	2,977$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452.01	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	2,740$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.68	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5bb…495cbacked Over	51c	2,693$1,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.73	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over	51c	2,546$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.75	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over	51c	2,540$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.82	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under	48c	2,500$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	51c	1,667$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.67	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under	49c	1,359$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.84	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under	48c	1,300$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	29c	1,246$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.42	161	39.8%64 W · 97 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	51c	1,220$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.8	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	49c	1,100$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	183	45.4%83 W · 100 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	51c	905.21$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.39	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	49c	900$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under	52c	771.44$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.53	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under	5c	749.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	52c	581$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.88	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under	18c	475.39$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.96	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under	49c	340.93$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.06	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under	48c	324.31$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under	49c	308.62$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under	49c	293.88$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over	52c	273.99$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.52	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under	20c	266$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.16	240	44.6%107 W · 133 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	49c	258.05$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.72	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	240.01$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.29	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	49c	231.5$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.44	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	49c	231.5$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.44	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under	52c	229.65$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	49c	225.67$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.58	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Over	54c	208.94$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.11	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	46c	202$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.92	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under	50c	201.5$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.75	182	50%91 W · 91 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.38	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Under	37c	199.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfac…b532backed Over	78c	197.08$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.36	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Under	8c	187.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under	49c	187.47$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	51c	181$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.69	360	45%162 W · 198 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under	49c	166.88$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under	50c	156$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under	49c	154$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.46	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under	49c	151.02$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under	49c	146.94$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	217	53%115 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Under	49c	146.94$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under	49c	146.94$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…03e9backed Under	31c	136.86$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under	49c	136.73$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under	48c	132.79$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.74	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under	49c	122.77$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.16	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f6…3e65backed Under	50c	113.77$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Under	49c	112$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	21c	99.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	98.61$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under	49c	97.06$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.56	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over	52c	96.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.34	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under	49c	93.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.61	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under	49c	91.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.63	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	79.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	68c	77.76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	156	62.8%98 W · 58 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	52c	77.12$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.12	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…e18cbacked Over	47c	71.86$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.38	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under	48c	67.51$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under	50c	65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.35	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under	49c	62.73$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed Under	50c	61.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Over	52c	54.69$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.33	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…8402backed Under	50c	51.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under	46c	51.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Under	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under	49c	50.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	196	50.5%99 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Under	48c	49.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	100	47%47 W · 53 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d26…6f74backed Under	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef7…136cbacked Under	49c	44.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event