NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798e4a272a81df0dadeb512be4f738119e8f41aa988ee57ee07bc2e59cc04681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Rockets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 52c | 10,309$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,934.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Rockets | 53c | 9,057$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 47c | 8,662$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Rockets | 54c | 6,210$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.71 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…d810backed Rockets | 51c | 6,196$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Rockets | 53c | 5,709$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…016ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,618$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 4,549$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,280$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 49c | 3,967$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Rockets | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…ecefbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Rockets | 52c | 3,585$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.22 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 2,835$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,805$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.81 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Rockets | 54c | 2,757$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Rockets | 51c | 2,577$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,527$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 42c | 2,522$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Rockets | 52c | 1,998$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.9 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,946$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.61 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,817$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.76 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 55c | 1,723$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rockets | 52c | 1,587$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…bca1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,583$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 43c | 1,551$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets | 40c | 1,341$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 46c | 807.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rockets | 34c | 791.68$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.86 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 45c | 679.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets | 54c | 652$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Grizzlies | 47c | 649.68$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.44 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Grizzlies | 69c | 581.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 40c | 566$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 56c | 551.31$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 528.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Rockets | 54c | 521.09$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Grizzlies | 47c | 508$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Rockets | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Grizzlies | 48c | 445.18$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Rockets | 56c | 430$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Rockets | 53c | 392.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Grizzlies | 44c | 389$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Rockets | 55c | 388.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0ce3backed Rockets | 55c | 380.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 336.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 47c | 328.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.02 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Grizzlies | 47c | 319$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 318$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Rockets | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Grizzlies | 47c | 293.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 292.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 267$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Rockets | 27c | 224.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Rockets | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 197.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Rockets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Grizzlies | 47c | 188.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 46c | 184.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rockets | 55c | 177.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…c930backed Grizzlies | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Grizzlies | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 53c | 162.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Grizzlies | 48c | 160.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Grizzlies | 47c | 159.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 158$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rockets | 10c | 156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Grizzlies | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…213fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…5fa5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…113ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Rockets | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Grizzlies | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Grizzlies | 46c | 145.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 140$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Grizzlies | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Rockets | 45c | 134.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies | 47c | 121$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rockets | 38c | 115.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets | 52c | 101.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 52c | 97.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Rockets | 56c | 91.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Rockets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Rockets | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Grizzlies | 43c | 87.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Rockets vs. GrizzliesRockets won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.