NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a8f66bbb75b9f92db33b9170b715c3568c21785885b3b383513291804fb8c1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Grizzliesof Rockets, Grizzlies
Resolved: Mar 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,638 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets	49c	38,727$18,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,971.25	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies	51c	33,060$16,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,213.66	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Rockets	49c	6,830$3,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,346.51	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Grizzlies	51c	5,490$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.2	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	51c	4,684$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,303.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	43c	4,057$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,736.17	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies	51c	3,342$1,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.51	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies	50c	2,581$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.43	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Grizzlies	51c	2,349$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.29	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Grizzlies	51c	2,255$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.9	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies	59c	2,165$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets	49c	1,888$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.12	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Grizzlies	51c	1,773$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.77	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	50c	1,650$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.63	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Rockets	49c	1,592$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.07	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2b…36f4backed Grizzlies	70c	1,370$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.16	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Rockets	49c	1,338$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.61	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Grizzlies	51c	1,273$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.55	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rockets	38c	1,231$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.96	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Grizzlies	51c	1,171$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.37	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies	51c	1,078$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.43	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Rockets	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Grizzlies	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Rockets	50c	765$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.5	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Rockets	48c	706.29$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.02	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies	50c	698.74$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.37	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets	50c	692$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Rockets	50c	646$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.54	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Rockets	50c	586.8$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.73	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Grizzlies	52c	520$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.6	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Rockets	49c	510.1$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.95	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Rockets	50c	419.7$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.77	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Rockets	50c	415.61$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.81	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Rockets	50c	400$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Rockets	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets	50c	385.78$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.65	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Rockets	50c	378.54$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.23	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Rockets	50c	368$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.75	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Rockets	50c	308$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Rockets	49c	304.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Grizzlies	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Rockets	49c	250.7$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.84	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Rockets	50c	245$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Rockets	49c	243.16$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.15	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Rockets	48c	239$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.72	223	51.6%115 W · 108 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Rockets	50c	231.16$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.58	186	48.9%91 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Rockets	50c	222.69$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.04	229	53.3%122 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets	51c	221.48$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.39	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies	55c	205.45$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.45	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Rockets	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	190	54.7%104 W · 86 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	250	49.6%124 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Rockets	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Grizzlies	53c	188.76$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.76	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets	48c	174.31$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.67	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Rockets	49c	171$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.79	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-5.4wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Rockets	51c	168.29$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.45	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Rockets	50c	161.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	126	50%63 W · 63 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked Rockets	50c	155$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Rockets	50c	152.18$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.54	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Rockets	50c	145.78$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.4	313	54.6%171 W · 142 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rockets	36c	140.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Rockets	50c	124$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets	48c	112.95$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	388	53.4%207 W · 181 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Rockets	50c	108.33$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.81	196	59.7%117 W · 79 L	+17.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Rockets	49c	105$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f0…e92bbacked Rockets	50c	100.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Grizzlies	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	693	37.8%262 W · 431 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Rockets	50c	99.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	198	51%101 W · 97 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Grizzlies	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Rockets	50c	90.17$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.08	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Grizzlies	51c	88.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.22	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Rockets	50c	85$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Rockets	50c	82.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.08	251	53.8%135 W · 116 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Rockets	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Grizzlies	51c	80$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.2	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Grizzlies	51c	78.55$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.21	264	50%132 W · 132 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Rockets	50c	76$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	202	49%99 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7608…92e2backed Rockets	50c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed Grizzlies	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Rockets	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	478	52.9%253 W · 225 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Grizzlies	53c	69.49$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.66	679	49.8%338 W · 341 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Rockets	50c	69.06$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.27	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Rockets	50c	68$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.82	227	48.9%111 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Rockets	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Rockets	49c	63.3$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda29…7907backed Rockets	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Rockets	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	126	58.7%74 W · 52 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Rockets	50c	59.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Rockets	50c	59.61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	170	57.1%97 W · 73 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Rockets	21c	58.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	182	42.9%78 W · 104 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Grizzlies	51c	54.14$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.53	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…00a3backed Rockets	50c	52.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Rockets	51c	51.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a84…60fabacked Rockets	50c	50.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	65	61.5%40 W · 25 L	+7.1wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Grizzlies	51c	49.81$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.41	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Rockets	50c	48.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	258	55.8%144 W · 114 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Grizzlies won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5No won
Cedric Coward: Points O/U 12.5No won
Rockets vs. GrizzliesRockets won
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineRockets won
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Under won
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Grizzlies won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event