TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,940 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over53c80,122$42,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,657.3632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c43,280$20,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,358.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c27,269$12,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,810.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under47c12,000$5,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6409159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c11,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb08d…0825backed Under50c7,720$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561a…e55cbacked Under50c7,199$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb3…e8bcbacked Over50c6,527$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…f96bbacked Under50c6,355$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8db8…7000backed Over50c6,095$3,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,047.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda7a…163ebacked Under50c5,911$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a22…e85bbacked Under50c5,861$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9d…0ababacked Over50c5,539$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x279b…84debacked Under50c5,389$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03e…8091backed Over50c5,091$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b4…6675backed Over50c4,695$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c4,611$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.4917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c4,585$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.182,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8167…cc4dbacked Over50c4,371$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7914…f9a3backed Over50c4,311$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Under47c4,138$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9451258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe579…4720backed Over50c3,586$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c3,242$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…b2f3backed Under50c3,183$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a3…9826backed Under50c2,929$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,816$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under50c2,530$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.0665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0594…fdedbacked Over50c2,285$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c2,080$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.224,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over51c2,066$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.043,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under47c1,990$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.33831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c1,920$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,565$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c914.34$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b41…78b2backed Over50c896$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c746$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c701.1$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b7…a234backed Under50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c658.36$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.271,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164c…1dabbacked Under47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over50c636.14$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9126337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over45c635.8$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.828838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Under47c553$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.916946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c509.26$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f6…f7e8backed Over50c492$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over49c487.16$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under4c468$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.69346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c439.3$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.241,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under47c428.19$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.616849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…206dbacked Over54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under45c332.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x362a…f541backed Over54c321.16$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.481154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under10c286$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee90…70c4backed Over54c280$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over54c268.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2211157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9278648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c198.12$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c187.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3311543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.87233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over56c178.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under55c174.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under46c165.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a56…17b0backed Over52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c153.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Under46c142.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.584438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under46c142.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5231046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c126.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Under47c122.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.753855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.218744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c119.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.331,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under55c118.88$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c111$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2910955%60 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over53c106$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-74.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4669337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5415650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Under48c94.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5610854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under44c89.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c85.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Over53c84.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95650%28 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5531345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.816245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c79.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.