TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c77,467$37,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,183.961,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over52c57,692$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,692.327747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over52c36,611$18,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,628.612661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c25,363$12,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,312.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c7,848$4,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.861,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c6,188$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.473,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Under54c3,368$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.139547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c2,787$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.3469149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2255547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over45c1,652$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c1,388$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1220647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under21c1,131$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8922836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,130$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,107$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4b…556bbacked Under3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Under3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c878.81$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.512,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Under48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c818.39$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c783.17$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c764$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.061,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under3c700$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c665.68$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c654.73$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under52c528.85$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under50c480.84$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under5c409.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under48c408.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.969352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c365$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.21,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under3c352.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.572425%6 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+70.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c338.73$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under48c311.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7547436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6116…9c40backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c196.62$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.395,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c181$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c171.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Over61c123.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.133450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3833251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under48c105.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4914347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205b…d66abacked Over65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7510100%10 W · 0 L+4.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c104.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9748546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c101.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c98.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.683,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c94.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c79.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3326450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2262049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over52c72.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9938853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over65c69.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232195.2%20 W · 1 L+6.8wins+0.32per pick63cpaid+94.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c66.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over27c62.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6720837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9132747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9127345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9132947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under47c58.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4919435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c52.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under49c49.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c46.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Over35c41.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.784235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a06dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d1…b029backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under44c37.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7451946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c37.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f7…f95bbacked Under44c33.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4950%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Under49c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9912658.7%74 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under52c27.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4441449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over52c26.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6122454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over52c26.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.525757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under53c25.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7813346.6%62 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under50c24.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1621852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over51c24.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under54c20.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d1…c2a1backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-75.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ff8…9d2dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c19.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under59c19.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4344551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over64c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.848571.8%61 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.