TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c436,079$227,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208,792.1320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over48c210,601$101,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,088.3829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over48c92,634$44,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,463.825534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over48c53,385$25,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,624.8316039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Over47c19,500$9,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1652161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over48c11,700$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over48c10,959$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,260.3235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c8,928$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c8,258$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over48c5,852$2,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.292356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c5,769$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.542,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7151,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over48c3,025$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.8837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c2,966$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.772,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c2,702$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15227241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c1,393$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.4265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c1,381$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,377$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over47c1,170$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,125$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over25c1,052$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6422836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1618345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c596.29$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under52c408.01$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.267455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Under52c373.83$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.447145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over29c368.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6520837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Over48c308.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2615031.3%47 W · 103 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c298.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c289.07$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11625846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over44c183.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3431345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c181.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8091846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d41…2e0abacked Under68c147.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under80c146.48$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.739546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under55c145.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.646861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c139.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under50c129.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.781,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c109.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c102$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c100.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c100.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.046547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c97.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over50c91.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Over50c83.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9513038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c78.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c72.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7124044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.210943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d1…b029backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Under51c58.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8112658.7%74 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Over38c57.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over35c57.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Over41c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.654235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c51.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under60c47.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9914359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c46.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over48c42.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.286546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Over48c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed Over49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under54c39.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…a2c2backed Over48c36.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.460%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00f8…5e7fbacked Over54c35.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c33.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under54c29.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7618242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c25.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…dc22backed Over49c24.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x479a…f7f1backed Over50c23.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24e…22f4backed Over48c21.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc439…7388backed Over50c20.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Under55c18.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.223056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.