MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf4f07561ddc97ef07c9bdfe14b311cf10fa39a4fffb7b4ac04ddc4b7ed323b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,499.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Over | 51c | 37,334$19,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,040.54 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 6,144$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 5,523$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.57 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 4,926$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 48c | 4,073$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.92 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 53c | 2,855$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 2,757$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.17 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 2,605$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 2,237$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.09 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 2,158$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 2,104$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.11 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 2,008$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.92 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 2,000$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.29 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 1,942$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.26 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.7 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 61c | 1,213$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.14 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 1,048$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 1,036$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 985.06$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 903.56$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 883.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.83 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 748.89$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 632.05$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 547.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 510.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 493$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 74c | 403.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 394.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.37 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 341.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 308.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Over | 13c | 285.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 52c | 212.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 204.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Under | 50c | 174.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 50c | 137.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 52c | 130.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Under | 48c | 80.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Over | 15c | 79.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 20c | 73.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…c130backed Over | 17c | 71.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 68.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 21c | 67.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 60.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 59.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e950backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…b937backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under | 48c | 40.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 40.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…21e8backed Under | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 61c | 27.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 25.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 54c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Under | 49c | 25.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 52c | 24.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Under | 48c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 52c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.