TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.9955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Over51c37,334$19,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,040.542454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1008943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c6,144$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.528,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c5,523$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.5717248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c4,926$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.411,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under48c4,073$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.927843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over53c2,855$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006942%29 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under47c2,757$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.1719053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c2,605$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under49c2,237$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.091,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over12c2,158$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over52c2,104$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.1189053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3339047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.41,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c2,008$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.922,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c2,000$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2924150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c1,942$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.2675049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.749158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under61c1,213$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c1,048$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.468,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c1,036$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c985.06$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.734,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c903.56$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.853,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under49c883.98$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8325249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3312449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c748.89$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.954,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c632.05$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.345,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c547.66$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.781,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under48c510.2$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over9c493$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.371,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under74c403.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7719153.9%103 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c394.89$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.372,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c341.95$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c308.68$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.996,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Over13c285.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.063560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over52c212.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.321,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under49c204.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7434942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf50…2dd8backed Under50c174.84$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.422040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.021,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed Under50c137.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked Over52c130.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.754425%11 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.91,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.677050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.26947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010853.7%58 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8214759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Under48c80.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.772755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Over15c79.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.644829.2%14 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over43c74.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over20c73.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3343954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb7d…c130backed Over17c71.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095034%17 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c68.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over21c67.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5955847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under49c60.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c59.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under49c53.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0685949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over51c53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0325850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258733.3%29 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9116544.8%74 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…e950backed Under54c42.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6723455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c4…b937backed Under48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under48c40.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.942857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c40.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.072,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.846557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2525256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.255642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.183053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158457.1%48 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…21e8backed Under53c28.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under61c27.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8921852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over53c25.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7738352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Over54c25.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.861450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over53c25.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4459749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Under49c25.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over52c24.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.665359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Under48c24.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c20.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.361,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over52c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4313260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.