TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89ab…89ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT7856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$16.91
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.