TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over53c50,105$26,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,555.662437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c49,509$23,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,744.743647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under47c46,929$22,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,872.2355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c11,141$5,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,779.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c9,485$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.534,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c7,862$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,088.441,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c5,519$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.41,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c5,117$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.9959549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over46c3,981$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.1914252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c3,508$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.153,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c3,141$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.321,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,000$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under47c2,637$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.581,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c1,768$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c1,685$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.941,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.841,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under49c1,500$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.711,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c1,380$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.512,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c1,379$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.181,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under47c1,372$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.863,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under48c1,343$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1954152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c1,331$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.0411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over52c1,292$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c1,207$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.888,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under50c1,132$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.091,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under53c1,079$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54673748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over51c1,036$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.537755.8%43 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over52c1,008$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1647350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over52c861.34$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.934942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over52c824.3$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under49c723.48$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9355052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over46c676.02$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.528,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c644.47$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.16,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c612.83$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.931,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over50c599.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c397.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.34,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over54c368.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1713441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under48c332.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8951555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under48c315.71$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1745246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over53c295$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.358856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under48c275.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3340554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c270.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.111,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over52c240.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.641,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under41c227$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3358649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.921,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over52c153$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5656253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over51c150.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9540341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Over53c148.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.841010%1 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c136$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.721,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…a436backed Over53c110.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Under48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0814759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5284651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210036%36 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…f799backed Under48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over52c94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over54c92.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under46c89.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.026,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c88.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.618,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under74c84.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213053.1%69 W · 61 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4565248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over52c83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.162,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over54c80.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.571533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under48c77.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1131446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…f0a9backed Over54c76.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.552955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Over53c64.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.111020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.972,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under47c51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0325850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under48c50.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3611551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Over53c49.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4460%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc94…9954backed Over53c48.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e1…4925backed Over54c48.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2478155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Under48c46.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.237652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed Under48c46.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.036741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under48c41.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.831,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6718751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c39.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.