MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdef45b3a3a0abdf22eeff3f141c6496322640016fea9ffb2cb014db3a0af2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 11,210$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.02 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 8,225$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 6,606$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.12 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,243$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 3,076$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.89 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over | 55c | 2,726$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.11 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 2,572$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 51c | 1,932$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.85 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 1,801$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.7 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 1c | 1,480$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,337$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 1,239$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 702.26$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 507.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Over | 50c | 490.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 426$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 395.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 50c | 387.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 48c | 386.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 49c | 367.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.59 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 359.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 50c | 285.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 236$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 68c | 207.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Under | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…6905backed Under | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…3575backed Over | 49c | 204.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0cd7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 50c | 197.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd935…6029backed Over | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Over | 54c | 182.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 163.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Over | 59c | 122.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3f2cbacked Over | 54c | 101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 50c | 98.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 98.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Under | 53c | 66.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 69c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 39c | 50.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 43.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…4aabbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 38.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 35.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…6d43backed Over | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1511…5607backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…c28ebacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 47c | 29.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 28.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 61c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…468bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 68c | 15.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Over | 68c | 15.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.