MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1076c112b1f1bf4b7740e3ac31a2e016c9b0a0bacb0f8f01d56cc635412c7eeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $964,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $988,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $964,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 406,012$173,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173,025.05 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…1128backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 144,141$60,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,422.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 57c | 122,771$69,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,791.64 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 58c | 90,000$52,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,800 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 44,612$19,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992.91 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 58c | 35,113$20,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,747.46 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 57c | 34,805$19,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,944.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 59c | 29,511$17,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,037.51 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 57c | 28,596$16,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,199.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Mets | 58c | 27,726$16,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.99 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 63c | 27,631$17,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,215.9 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New York Mets | 57c | 23,300$13,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 61c | 22,410$13,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 20,664$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Mets | 58c | 17,752$10,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 57c | 17,542$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.06 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 57c | 15,911$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.57 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 62c | 14,506$8,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,581.65 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed New York Mets | 58c | 12,931$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.03 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 57c | 12,668$7,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 12,605$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…0792backed New York Mets | 57c | 12,014$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Mets | 60c | 9,700$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Mets | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 8,559$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.2 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked New York Mets | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed New York Mets | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 6,301$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed New York Mets | 58c | 6,100$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 58c | 5,999$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.4 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 5,760$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.18 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 5,497$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed New York Mets | 58c | 5,438$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.79 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 60c | 5,323$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.13 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 58c | 5,176$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.11 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 59c | 4,702$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed New York Mets | 71c | 4,666$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.14 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…1818backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,538$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,365$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.45 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 60c | 4,308$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 74c | 4,147$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 57c | 3,720$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.59 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed New York Mets | 57c | 3,572$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.08 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,561$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.18 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed New York Mets | 57c | 3,535$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.05 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed New York Mets | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked New York Mets | 58c | 3,197$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked New York Mets | 58c | 3,097$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,930$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.28 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,894$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…ef96backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,837$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,831$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,817$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,647$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,643$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.17 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,604$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,591$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,518$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,492$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,490$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 60c | 2,456$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,441$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,436$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,319$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,256$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,207$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 58c | 2,200$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,176$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked New York Mets | 58c | 2,133$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,828$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.04 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.13 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,687$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.64 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…9838backed New York Mets | 69c | 1,580$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Mets | 64c | 1,566$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.73 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…2852backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,462$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 1,459$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,340$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,299$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.15 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,295$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.91 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,223$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,154$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.22 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 71c | 1,126$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 74c | 1,095$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 75c | 1,063$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,018$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.04 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-9.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.