WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0271872d39f0687f7cb1f7c052915309222405839052e6be3bfbf88477ddc80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 4,400$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 3,868$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.88 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,576$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.64 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,235$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.18 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 999.91$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 899.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 847$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 811$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 458$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Sky | 28c | 414$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 72c | 114.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 99.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 42.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 40.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Chicago Sky | 31c | 37.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago SkyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.