WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2599ccf44a30da4417499afc55c132a620b2cdee06bc368c2bb4aafd31c37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 4,508$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.11 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 2,764$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 2,239$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,342$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 974.1$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.15 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 790.91$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 790.91$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 545.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 504.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 474.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.31 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 437.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 410.07$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 381.84$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 348.58$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 306.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 293.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 205.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 177.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 162.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 157$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Sky | 68c | 134.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dallas Wings | 57c | 124.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 109.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 99.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 92.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 85.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Dallas Wings | 41c | 54.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 53.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Dallas Wings | 39c | 44.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…f09abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 40.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 37.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 34.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 34.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 32.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dallas Wings | 68c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…e908backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 27.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 27.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 25.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 24.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago SkyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.