MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f3200aa74e7d7c0fdeac5ce99577713a00b40bb6cb8308302b7007d7a1a17f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 270,018$134,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,694.91 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 120,000$61,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,200 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 77,183$38,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,473.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 51c | 39,216$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,215.69 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 35,000$17,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,350 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 18,499$9,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,037.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 16,931$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,456.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 12,456$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 9,633$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.83 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 8,778$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 49c | 8,674$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 8,163$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.47 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 7,686$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 51c | 2,988$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.43 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 49c | 1,555$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 1,468$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,323$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.26 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,178$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 999.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.28 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 975.02$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.01 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 808.43$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 735$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 719.97$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Under | 47c | 691.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 665.4$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 656.85$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.29 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 647$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 608.6$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 76c | 577.8$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 453$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 51c | 426.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 49c | 310$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 59c | 305.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 199.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Over | 51c | 147.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 50c | 130.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 119.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 14c | 116.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 111.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 56c | 102.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…5d14backed Over | 50c | 98.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 94.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 91.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 88.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 86.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 62c | 82.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Under | 49c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 75.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 52c | 68.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…0238backed Under | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 26c | 56.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 58c | 56.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Over | 50c | 56.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…7289backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…eb35backed Under | 50c | 45.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 23c | 43.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…3bf5backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 44c | 36.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…1927backed Over | 71c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 46c | 34.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.