TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under44c39,376$17,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,192.4443647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over56c11,444$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.0411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c2,806$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.524,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c2,764$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.72,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c2,081$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.175,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over57c1,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.191,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over56c1,793$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.251,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c1,673$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.578,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over53c999.83$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.911,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c773.74$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.618,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over56c720.75$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under59c685$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.66,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under46c652.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1787750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Under47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.916850%34 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over56c514.68$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c511.95$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under43c465$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0511662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over56c430.06$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407444.6%33 W · 41 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c418.46$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.062,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over57c309.4$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.363,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over79c297.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1143043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c296.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.124,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over17c260$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Over58c251.55$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.95350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under44c248.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1721550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under29c234.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.388,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under46c226.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.426,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under48c219.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7397050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c172.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.055,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under20c136.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.462,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2525034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under48c97.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.856344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c77.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8362554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under56c62.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.572,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under49c57.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under52c54.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a66…a5d7backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020950.2%105 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa88c…26b7backed Over53c43.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…28cdbacked Over53c39.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.141,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Over53c34.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1125850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0e…7f2ebacked Over51c29.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over56c28.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9187370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc00b…ae4ebacked Over53c28.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddf…3ff6backed Over53c27.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.122,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c24.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.936,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d2…7e20backed Over53c23.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5140%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60f1…c7f6backed Over53c23.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Over53c23.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Over53c23.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3375…727bbacked Over53c23.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5276…8000backed Over53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb703…0366backed Over53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…c076backed Over53c22.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…d900backed Over53c22.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98cf…df20backed Over53c22.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-71.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc3…d59bbacked Over53c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.931250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Over53c22.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…90e5backed Over53c22.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1104…5010backed Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Over53c21.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x744a…8045backed Over53c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over53c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd954…5982backed Over53c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…cbc8backed Over53c21.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b86…69fabacked Over53c21.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Over53c21.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb3a…978cbacked Over53c20.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Over53c20.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a2e…60efbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b36…c11fbacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3be…b5e6backed Over53c19.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788b…25a6backed Over53c19.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4d1…760bbacked Over53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6412753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over70c16.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4343954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.