MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb19171ad8eda603339c6dc2d0e629147b9b15a38383a545f860a6baa3f8361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Athletics, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 4,400$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.19 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 27c | 4,100$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.87 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,143$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 40c | 820.48$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 620.12$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 599.59$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 532.26$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 525.31$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 17c | 421.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 395.16$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 68c | 315.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 315.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 44c | 242.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 42c | 190.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Athletics | 30c | 169.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 45c | 167.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Athletics | 28c | 161$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Athletics | 31c | 159.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 148.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 25c | 148.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies | 71c | 139.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 29c | 137.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 19c | 115.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 73.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 65.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 54.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Athletics | 27c | 51.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Athletics | 47c | 48.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Athletics | 41c | 47.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Athletics | 30c | 43.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 42.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Athletics | 30c | 39.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 67c | 35.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Colorado Rockies | 68c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Colorado Rockies | 65c | 22.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 66c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 199 | 60.3%120 W · 79 L | +21.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.