WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d0b56e30f5710192721c848e9243e247254c63754fb6c1a3ed0e791582d6bc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 889.82$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.71 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 47c | 871.55$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.63 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 48c | 442.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Over | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 210.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Over | 48c | 148.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 144.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 111.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 109.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 102.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 43c | 97.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 57c | 95.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed Under | 52c | 76.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Under | 52c | 72.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 42c | 66.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 60c | 58.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 40c | 57.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 59c | 51.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Under | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 38c | 37.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 58c | 34.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 30.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Over | 45c | 25.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-12.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-13.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.