WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9230d2ff146e81fe9a4db38c725c52f8ed514dc53f718fb5fe3f5c939320ecec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 50c | 40,541$20,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,422.98 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 20,304$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,304.06 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 14,677$7,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,338.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 50c | 3,100$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 66c | 2,006$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.43 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.63 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 972.02$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.73 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 46c | 934.53$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.39 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 51c | 923$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 54c | 722.21$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 35c | 672.6$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 642.15$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 298$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 275.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Over | 46c | 259.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 71c | 215.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…b54abacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 61c | 77.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 79c | 55.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 28c | 46.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 49c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 21.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 78c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-12.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-13.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.