WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x537c3988d62de73bfbf3030ccdf6fadba81c101dfb248ba581a79dab5c12f53b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Under | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,044$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 647.04$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.22 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 624.33$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Over | 2c | 619$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 538.12$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 396.5$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 293.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 249.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Over | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…7ab8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 56c | 73.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 46c | 65.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Over | 44c | 25.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-12.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-13.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.