TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over56c13,473$7,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under45c10,956$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9301030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over65c8,416$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.4619235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over56c6,800$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9924841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under43c3,327$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c3,281$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.136139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,750$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.7876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c2,712$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.174,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c2,229$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c2,208$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.162,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c1,964$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.295442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over73c1,950$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.674156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under44c1,770$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.752544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under48c1,593$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.521250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under44c1,571$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.24425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4811169.4%77 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Under44c1,031$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…6f6ebacked Under25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over56c991.38$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.211,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c922.99$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7322644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over71c901.68$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.43560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over75c888.89$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2214975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under29c887.39$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under39c856.36$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1113353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c690.05$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c655.82$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c653$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.3275850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under31c648.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under29c621.03$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over57c607.88$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.884557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over56c569.84$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0759445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under42c522.49$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over57c482.49$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.221855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under43c460$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over56c436.77$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under45c410$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.55650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over52c384$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.326160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6396…3e5cbacked Under47c358.74$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1412652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.838263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c342$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.648637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over56c340$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.64969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Under43c326$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c290.66$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.77254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…0274backed Under44c284.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…3484backed Over58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.862040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over74c270.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.128375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c232.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c209.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.066,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Over57c199.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under43c196.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over68c191.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.184470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72d…5a35backed Under43c190.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c178.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.791,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed42…fa17backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over58c169$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.988666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under44c159.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.166758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.176451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under42c154.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.816743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c151.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9669851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under61c147.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over69c144.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0510547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over70c130.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2912954.3%70 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under43c127.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over55c120.1$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0516454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…9fc3backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over78c109.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.994744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under29c108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0711753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b8…deb6backed Over41c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over63c94.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.585543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2440841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Under33c89.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.594429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa761…46c1backed Over56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.362128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.21471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under18c78.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Over58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under38c77.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over57c74.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.177444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over56c74.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5921250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4310058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Under44c68.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911265.2%73 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.