Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce4f5aa280690ea15016aa3d1a226acb249116fe53a5af9bf57c22b2e15b2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 4,640$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 17c | 4,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.93 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 54c | 2,613$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 37c | 1,993$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.15 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 20c | 1,870$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.71 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 75c | 1,250$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.75 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,208$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 30c | 899.95$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 78c | 670$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 499.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Over | 16c | 476.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 454.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 435.59$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 420$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 16c | 419.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 8c | 374$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 357.74$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 16c | 327.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 73c | 240.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 224.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…6d35backed Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 19c | 204.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 6c | 204.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 17c | 194$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 26c | 183.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 18c | 173.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 52c | 155.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 30c | 149.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 17c | 148.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 67c | 118.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 97.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e55…d369backed Under | 75c | 77.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 72c | 68.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 72c | 60.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 73c | 55.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…57d2backed Under | 67c | 52.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 50c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 75c | 46.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 79c | 41.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 28c | 38.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 31c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 60c | 37.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…b7c4backed Under | 56c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 62c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 71c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.