Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb8db73737289cc25d7e2b754441a7dbf05a95a06c5251a15a0883fef4d1de11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Burnley FCof Leeds United FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 74c | 9,805$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Leeds United FC | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Burnley FC | 78c | 1,731$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Leeds United FC | 27c | 1,667$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Burnley FC | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Leeds United FC | 22c | 800.32$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Leeds United FC | 39c | 694.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leeds United FC | 25c | 578$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Leeds United FC | 32c | 519.55$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Leeds United FC | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Burnley FC | 75c | 470.65$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Leeds United FC | 25c | 410$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Leeds United FC | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leeds United FC | 47c | 387.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Leeds United FC | 23c | 304.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Burnley FC | 77c | 244.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Leeds United FC | 74c | 239.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Burnley FC | 75c | 221.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Burnley FC | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Leeds United FC | 23c | 189.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Leeds United FC | 27c | 175.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Leeds United FC | 65c | 152.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Burnley FC | 69c | 147.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Leeds United FC | 74c | 142.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Burnley FC | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Burnley FC | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Burnley FC | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Burnley FC | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leeds United FC | 43c | 108.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Burnley FC | 19c | 106.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Burnley FC | 73c | 104.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…f790backed Leeds United FC | 27c | 104.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Burnley FC | 76c | 100.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Burnley FC | 76c | 84.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Burnley FC | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Leeds United FC | 26c | 78.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 28cpaid | +207.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Burnley FC | 34c | 76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Leeds United FC | 33c | 59.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Burnley FC | 69c | 56.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Burnley FC | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Burnley FC | 75c | 47.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Burnley FC | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Burnley FC | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Burnley FC | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Leeds United FC | 37c | 41.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Burnley FC | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Leeds United FC | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Burnley FC | 61c | 37.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed Burnley FC | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Burnley FC | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Leeds United FC | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Burnley FC | 75c | 26.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Burnley FC | 69c | 25.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Burnley FC | 75c | 25.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Burnley FC | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Burnley FC | 76c | 20.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Burnley FC | 65c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Burnley FC | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Burnley FC | 70c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Burnley FC | 80c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Burnley FC | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Burnley FC | 74c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.