TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6526…2c8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 67 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT5018%9 W · 41 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-54%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$182.62
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.43per pick28cpaid+207.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$64.68
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$26.18
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$47.46
Will Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.11
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$41.02
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$52.36
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.19
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 3 - 1 Burnley FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$245.33
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$15.88
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$7.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.